PAGASA briefing on Typhoon Nona – Latest Update  (Issued Dec. 15 11:am)

PAGASA Track as of 8 a.m., 15 December 2015 Satellite Image 
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SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #13
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING: TYPHOON “NONA”
Issued at 11:00 a.m., Tuesday, 15 December 2015

Typhoon “NONA” is about to make a landfall over Pinamalayan, Oriental Mindoro.

  Location of Center
(as of 10:00 a.m.)
in the vicinity of Pinamalayan, Oriental Mindoro
Coordinates: 13.0°N, 121.6°E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 140 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 170 kph
Movement: Forecast to move West at 15 kph.
Forecast Positions/Outlook: ·     24 hour (tomorrow morning):
250 km West of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro

·     48 hour (Thursday morning):
320 km West of Coron, Palawan

·     72 hour (Friday morning):
430 km Northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan (Outside PAR)

·     96 hour (Saturday morning):
850 km West Southwest of Puerto Princesa City, (Outside PAR)

 PUBLIC STORM WARNING SIGNAL RAISED
PSWS Luzon Visayas Mindanao Impacts of the wind
3

(121-170kph

Expected in   18hrs.)

Calamian group of Islands, Oriental Mindoro and Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island ·   Heavy damage to high–risk structures;

·   Moderate damage to medium- risk structures;

·   Light damage to low-risk structures

·   Increasing damage (up to more than 50%) to old, dilapidated residential structures and houses of light materials. Majority of all nipa and cogon houses may be unroofed or destroyed

·   Houses of medium strength materials (old, timber or mixed timber-CHB structures, usually with G.I. roofing’s); some warehouses or bodega-type structures are unroofed.

·   There may be widespread disruption of electrical power and communication services.

·   Almost all banana plants are downed

·   Some big trees (acacia, mango, etc.) are broken or uprooted,

·   Dwarf-type or hybrid coconut trees are tilted or downed.

·   Rice and corn crops may suffer heavy losses

Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off; some large trees blown down.

Ocean Wave Height: (Open Sea) > 14.0 meters       Storm surge may reach up to 3.6 meters
2

(61-120kph Expected in 24 hrs.)

Marinduque, Romblon and Batangas ·   Light to Moderate damage to high risk structures;

·   Very light to light damage to medium-risk structures;

·   No damage to very light damage to low risk structures

·   Unshielded, old dilapidated schoolhouses, makeshift shanties, and other structures of light materials are partially damaged or unroofed.

·   A number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed.

·   Some old galvanized iron (G.I.) roofs may be peeled or blown off.

·   Some wooden, old electric posts are tilted or downed.

·   Some damage to poorly constructed signs/billboards

·   In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities. Most banana plants, a few mango trees, ipil-ipil and similar types of trees are downed or broken

·   Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken

·   Rice and corn may be adversely affected

Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some heavy-foliaged trees blown down.

Open Sea Wave Height: 4.1-14.0 meters      Storm surge possible at coastal areas
 

1

(30-60kph

Expected in 36 hrs.)

Metro Manila, Bataan, Bulacan, Cavite, Laguna, Rizal, Quezon, Burias Island and Northern Palawan including Cuyo Island Aklan and Antique ·   Very light or no damage to low risk structures,
·   Light damage to medium to high risk structures
·   Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
·   Twigs of small trees may be broken.
·   Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Wave Height (Open Sea): 1.25-4.0 meters
  • Estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to heavy within the 250 km diameter of the Typhoon.
  • Flash floods and landslides are expected over the areas under signals # 2 and 3, while storm surges of up to 2 meters are possible.
  •  Nona is expected to cross Mindoro and will be over the West Philippine Sea this afternoon.
  • Meanwhile, as of 8:00 AM, a Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated at 1800 km East Southeast of Mindanao (5.5°N, 142.5°E).
  • PSWS elsewhere has now been lifted. The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 5 PM today.

 

PDF icon 11:00 a.m. Weather Bulletin in pdf 

 

Sources: Live Stream (GMA News Network)

PAGASA

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